
As the NCAA Tournament proves every year, as long as randomness reigns there will always be a place in sports for trusting your gut feeling. Pictured: Darnell Harris of #15 seed Middle Tennessee during their win over #2 seed Michigan State. (Getty Images)
– Jim Bearor
You’re watching sports with someone at the bar. They tell you that they have a feeling about what is going to happen next. They don’t supply any real coherent explanation or data to support their prediction, they just have a hunch.
These kinds of hunches are frail and easily forgotten. They don’t hold much weight in a serious conversation, because it always seems to come down to numbers and history. Sport discussions work this way for good reason. Numbers only lie sometimes, and without them, you wouldn’t have any ammunition to put a delusional homer in his place. Of course, numbers and records do exist, and they’re more accessible than ever before. The endgame of many sports arguments nowadays is a quick Google search to compare stats. If the bulk of information gathered says your hunch is wrong, you often kill it in your head before even mentioning it. Continue reading →